Hello and good day to you, residents of lovely Windham County, Vermont! I hope things are well with you.
The foliage certainly has been more plentiful and beautiful this season compared to the last couple of years. This has been supported by the last half of summer bringing sunnier periods along with cooler, drier nights.
As for the next week, our fair weather stretch is waning rapidly with the anticipated development of a powerful Nor'easter tracking through southeastern New England Wednesday night into Thursday.
Strong gusty winds, isolated outages, heavy rain, and isolated street flooding is all expected. The high peaks of western Windham County could even mix with the first snowflakes of the season by Thursday night!
Thereafter, we have a sweet stretch of sunnier weather Friday through the weekend, with a warming trend into early next week. By next Tuesday, more rain is possible, so with our weekly weather picture painted, let's leap into the daily details!
For Wednesday, we'll start off sunny, but clouds will build into the region quickly. A mid-level low pressure system will push east out of the eastern Great Lakes and track toward northern New York.
At the same time, copious moisture and another shortwave will rapidly track east-northeast to the Virginia coast, and head out over open water.
At this point, the secondary low will undergo “bombogenesis,” which refers to not only the birth of a new storm, but one that deepens 24 millibars or more within a 24-hour period. This storm will then track into eastern Massachusetts and end up in southern Maine or the Gulf of Maine.
What this means for us in southern Vermont is rain showers moving in by late afternoon, with rain heavy at times overnight.
Winds will gust out of the southeast at 30 to 50 mph at times. Rainfall totals should reach 1.5 to 2.5 inches by Thursday night. Highs Wednesday should reach the upper 50s with lows in the low to mid 40s.
On Thursday, our storm pulls away, but the mid-level low drifts through central New England. This will bring more scattered instability showers during the day and into the evening. In addition, the wind will back out of the northwest and gusts 25-40mph will be possible during the day.
Highs will only make it to the upper 40s to low 50s with lows in the upper 30s. In fact, some snow may mix in over the high peaks of western Windham County!
Friday through Sunday looks fair and increasingly milder. Highs will reach the low to mid 50s Friday, the mid to upper 50s Saturday and the upper 50s to low 60s Sunday.
Frost is possible Saturday morning as lows dip into the low to mid 30s Friday night, with lows in the upper 30s Saturday night and the mid 40s Sunday night.
By early next week, another rainstorm is possible. Have a great week!